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Denne identifikatoren kan du bruke til å sitere eller lenke til denne innførselen:
http://hdl.handle.net/2282/1267
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| Tittel: | Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
| Forfattere: | Førland, Eirik J.
Benestad, Rasmus
Hanssen-Bauer, Inger
Haugen, Jan Erik
Skaugen, Torill Engen |
| Dato: | 6-Dec-2011 |
| Sammendrag: | Substantial variations in temperature and precipitation have been observed since the first permanent weather station was
established in the Svalbard region in 1911. Temperature and precipitation development are analysed for the longest observational
series, and periods with positive and negative trends are identified. For all temperature series, positive linear trends are found for
annual values as well as spring, summer, and autumn series. A very strong winter warming is identified for the latest decades.
Evaluation of temperature trends downscaled from global climate models forced with observed greenhouse gas emissions suggests
that the downscaled results do span the observation-based trends at Svalbard Airport 1912–2010. Novel projections focussing on
the Svalbard region indicate a future warming rate up to year 2100 three times stronger than observed during the latest 100 years.
The average winter temperature in the Longyearbyen area at the end of this century is projected to be around 10◦C higher than
in present climate. Also for precipitation, the long-term observational series indicate an increase and the projections indicate a
further increase up to year 2100. |
| Nøkkelord: | temperatures
precipitation |
| Geografisk stedsnavn: | Svalbard |
| Forlag: | Hindawi |
| Dokumenttype: | Journal article |
| Peer reviewed: | Peer reviewed |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2282/1267 |
| Rettigheter: | Copyright The Authors 2011 |
| Lisens: | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ |
| DOI: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 |
| Bibliografisk referanse: | Førland, E.J., Benestad, R., Hanssen-Bauer, I., Haugen, J.E. & Skaugen, T.E. Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100. Advances in Meteorology. 2011. |
| Vises i samlingene: | Institutt for natur-, helse- og miljøvernfag
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